Colorado Springs listed among best housing markets for 2012

by: RICH LADEN

The Colorado Springs housing market, like many other communities around the country, has taken its lumps in recent years: falling home prices, rising numbers of foreclosures and a construction slowdown.

But the city’s housing market will stage a turnaround in 2012 and become one of the nation’s best, according to a national forecast by Builder Magazine.

The Springs ranks No. 7 on Builder’s Top 20 list of healthiest markets the magazine is projecting for next year. Builder publishes its Top 20 list twice a year — once for the current year and another that looks ahead — in conjunction with parent company Hanley Wood, a real estate media and information services firm. Their projections use Moody’s Economy.com data, which focus on jobs, price appreciation, population growth and other factors that drive housing.

The Department of Defense’s major presence in the Colorado Springs area — which includes Fort Carson, Peterson Air Force Base and Schriever Air Force Base — will serve as a catalyst for the local housing market, Builder suggests.

“There’s light at the end of the housing market tunnel in Colorado Springs,” according to Builder. “The three biggest employers here, by far, are military bases, and the fourth biggest is the Air Force Academy. The return of troops from Afghanistan may further stimulate the housing market.”

Builder says Moody’s expects Springs-area home prices to climb 2.6 percent next year, while job growth will increase 1.4 percent, numbers of households will rise 1.8 percent and median incomes will jump 2.9 percent.

Those pluses come on the heels of a mixed-year for Springs housing, Builder says; in July, the magazine notes, year-over-year homes sales were up, the inventory of homes for sale was down and the local foreclosure picture had improved. However, prices have been down this year.

Builder’s outlook, which includes the new home and resale markets in the Springs, differs markedly from one presented earlier this month by the Southern Colorado Economic Forum. The forum’s forecast for 2012 suggests the Colorado Springs economy will fall back into a recession with the rest of the nation — citing, in part, a weak housing market that hasn’t recovered.

Still, being put in the national spotlight by Builder can only help the market, some local industry officials say.

John Cassiani, the incoming board president for the Housing and Building Association of Colorado Springs, said he sees the No. 7 ranking as a recognition of some positive factors: troops are on their way back to Fort Carson, the city maintains a strong defense and aerospace industry and the Springs never saw the volatile housing price swings that Phoenix, Las Vegas and other cities experienced in recent years.

Other positives for the new home and resale markets include rock-bottom mortgage rates and low prices. Some builders continue to offer incentives, such as free landscaping and finished basements, Cassiani said.

But Cassiani acknowledged local single-family home construction next year probably will only match the pace of this year, and won’t increase until 2013. The area still has to work its way through a backlog of distressed properties — foreclosures and short sales — that pose competition for homebuilders, he said.

Construction of apartments, however, should continue to increase next year; apartment vacancy rates have plunged to nine-year lows in recent quarters, and several multi-family construction projects are either under way or planned.

Of other Colorado communities included in Builder’s healthiest housing market outlook, Fort Collins-Loveland ranked No. 2 in the nation, while Denver was No. 10 and Greeley came in at No. 20.

Minneapolis-St. Paul was No. 1 in the magazine’s forecast for 2012.

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